The first leg of the third qualifying round of the 2025/26 Champions League between Lech (Poland) and Crvena Zvezda (Serbia) will take place on August 6 at the Poznan stadium. Lech vs. Crvena Zvezda: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Lech
In the second round of Champions League qualification, the Polish side faced Breidablik. After Lech's resounding victory in the first leg (7-1), the return fixture was more of a formality, yet the club still won (1-0). Overall, the team has participated in the main European tournament eight times and has reached this qualifying stage twice but has yet to advance beyond it. Notably, the Polish league has already started, and after two rounds, Lech has three points.
- The team has won 11 of their last 13 home matches in European competitions.
- At least two goals have been scored in Lech's last five home games in European tournaments.
Predicted lineup for Lech (4-3-3)
Bartosz Mrozek – Alex Douglas, Wojciech Monka, Joao Gervasio Moutinho, Robert Gumny – Antoni Kozubal, Gisli Thordarson, Timothy Nur Ouma – Bryan Fiabema, Mikael Ishak, Filip Szymczak.
Crvena Zvezda
In the previous qualification round, the club faced Lincoln Red Imps. In the first away match, the team secured a 1-0 victory despite playing most of the game with ten men. In the return leg at home, Crvena Zvezda thrashed their opponent 5-1. In the 21st century, the Serbian club has reached this qualifying stage 11 times and failed to advance on eight occasions. Also noteworthy is that the Serbian league has already commenced, and Crvena Zvezda won both of their matches by more than three goals.
- The team has lost 8 of their last 10 away matches in the Champions League.
- The club has conceded at least two goals in 8 of their last 10 away games in this tournament.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Crvena Zvezda's last 8 Champions League matches.
Predicted lineup for Crvena Zvezda (4-4-2)
Mateus – Veljko Milosavljevic, Milos Veljkovic, Rodrigao, Aleksandar Katai – Mirko Ivanic, Nair Tiknizyan, Rade Krunic, Timi Elsnik – Bruno Duarte, Felicio Milson.
Referee
Tobias Stieler (Germany)
Matches – 14 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 60;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 29%.
Match Prediction for Lech vs. Crvena Zvezda
Lech has played only four home matches in the Champions League, winning three of them. The team has also won 6 of their last 7 home games in European competitions. In the previous qualification round, the club secured a resounding 7-1 home victory. In the upcoming game, I believe the hosts will not lose, as their opponent shows weak results away from home: Crvena Zvezda has lost 8 of their last 10 away matches in the Champions League.
Additionally, even in the second-tier European tournament, the Serbs have lost their last four away games. Considering Crvena Zvezda's performance and the good form of the hosts, my prediction is: Lech to win or draw
